Ine the Dow/CPI comparison, I think the Dow is still above where it "should" be.
As to Dow vs debt, I wonder myself. I think it suggests a long-term progress away from investment based on savings towards investment based on borrowing and speculation. The current buzzword is "financialisation", I believe. Maybe comparing the Dow/debt with the Dow/CPI would show points where the two were significantly out of step, and this could indicate increased danger of volatility and market collapse? But I just don't have the time and resources - maybe one of your full-time City contacts could think about it.
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And your conclusion and projection, Sackers?
Ine the Dow/CPI comparison, I think the Dow is still above where it "should" be.
As to Dow vs debt, I wonder myself. I think it suggests a long-term progress away from investment based on savings towards investment based on borrowing and speculation. The current buzzword is "financialisation", I believe. Maybe comparing the Dow/debt with the Dow/CPI would show points where the two were significantly out of step, and this could indicate increased danger of volatility and market collapse? But I just don't have the time and resources - maybe one of your full-time City contacts could think about it.
At least in the early part of your period, the Dow would also have been paying useful dividends, which I suppose should be allowed for somehow.
Still, not only are equities probably overvalued, but so are bonds I dare say, and property too. So what to do? Fill your attic with "stuff"?
Spot-on question, DM. Currency speculation? Land? Oil?
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