As the pandemic goes on, some have
queried the State’s facts; now, I’m beginning to wonder about its logic.
Here is the Daily Telegraph, relaying the message promoted
by ‘health chiefs’ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/10/07/flu-deaths-could-hit-60000-worst-winter-50-years-say-experts/
:
Flu deaths
could hit 60,000 in worst winter for 50 years, say experts
More than
35m people will be offered jabs after health chiefs warn that lockdowns and
social distancing have led to a drop in immunity
Note that the story is not about a
new, deadlier strain of flu; it’s about the weakening effects of lockdowns and
social distancing. By implication, we should have gone out and about and mingled
with others to keep ourselves strong.
Why does this reasoning not apply to Covid?
Also, there is double-think about the use of the needle. Our
long-standing strategy with flu is vaccination, focusing especially on the
elderly and vulnerable, but even now, officials aren’t proposing to vaccinate
the whole country against flu. Contrariwise, with Covid the plan is to jab
everyone aged 12 and up https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55274833
, despite a January study saying that severe allergic reactions to the Covid
vaccines are ten times commoner than with those for flu. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/06/cdc-says-severe-allergic-reactions-to-covid-vaccine-run-10-times-the-flu-shot-but-still-rare.html
In particular there is mounting concern about inoculating healthy youngsters
when they are naturally so resistant to the disease.
As for consumer resistance, a recent official news release sought
to overcome it by a skilful muddling of issues. The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/oct/08/nhs-aims-to-give-35m-flu-jabs-amid-warnings-of-up-to-60000-deaths
quoted Professor Jonathan Van-Tam, England’s deputy chief medical officer, on
the need to take jabs for both flu and Covid:
‘Covid-19 will still be
circulating and with more people mixing indoors, sadly some increases are
possible. For the first time we will have Covid-19 and flu co-circulating. We
need to take this seriously and defend ourselves and the NHS by getting the
annual flu jab and the Covid-19 booster when called.’
(I don’t understand that ’first
time… co-circulating’ bit; or rather, I don’t accept it. At what point in the
last 20 months has either disease ceased to circulate? Perhaps he was
misquoted, or ‘misspoke.’)
In any case, one suspects that
this story was a ‘nudge’, persuading us to extend our confidence in the
overwhelmingly safe flu vaccination to the more doubtful corona jab, even
though the latter is still being delivered under emergency-use terms that
protect the pharma companies from compensation claims.
Then add fear (’60,000 could
die!’) to the cauldron (it’s nearly Hallowe’en, after all); and finally, an
assertion of authority. The Cabinet’s Behavioural Insights Team recently made
the mistake of publishing a study celebrating the public’s gullibility, or as
they put it, ‘powerful tendency to conform’ and ‘deep set reverence for
legitimate government authority’; it was swiftly taken offline, but not swiftly
enough! https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2021/10/22/report-corona-shows-public-have-deep-set-reverence-for-govt/
The government claims to have
saved 130,000 lives by the corona vaccines https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-film-launched-urging-public-to-get-flu-and-covid-19-vaccines
but health issues are complex and it can take years for experts to agree an analysis.
For example, if there are 30,000-plus excess flu deaths because of lockdown and
social distancing, that figure might be used to adjust the total of lives
saved. Then again, how many have died and will die in the years to come,
because of lower fitness levels, inappropriate responses to stress, mental health
issues and the panoply of negative socioeconomic consequences of failing and
failed businesses, reduced employment income for workers, and unemployment?
Perhaps one ‘canary in the mine’
early danger warning can be seen in mortality statistics that do not mention
the coronavirus on the death certificate. Looking at the ONS weekly figures
this year from week 27 (start of Q3) up to the most recent available (week 41),
every week in 2021 except one has seen the most deaths since the equivalent
week in 2010. To put it another way, let’s look at each year’s total for that
15-week period:
There is a gradually rising trend
anyway, presumably because of a growing and ageing population; but 2021 is
clearly above the trend.
Further, deaths from Covid in the
same period are much higher this year than last. For Weeks 27-41 in 2020, there
were 3,423 where CV ‘was mentioned on the certificate’; in 2021, 8,885 (or 7,691
if you count only those where CV was the ‘underlying’ i.e. main cause of
death.) Adding those in for last year and this, total deaths from all causes in
this 15-week period are running at c. 1,000 a week more than the highest
equivalent (in 2017 – point 8 below) of the previous eleven years:
If this pattern continues it will
need some explanation. Something is going on, and I suspect that factors may
include the indirect effects of the anti-Covid strategy and the people’s
behavioural responses.
Perhaps those who ‘know better’
might pause in their censorship, mockery and vilification of those who have
concerns, lumping us all together with conspiracy theorists, the half-educated
and hysterical under the scornful term ‘anti-vaxxers’, and consider whether
they themselves may possibly be mistaken in one or more respects. They mean
well, of course, but to err is human.
For an example of how good
intentions can lead to disaster, consider the case of the Amazon’s Yanomami
tribe, many of whom were inoculated against measles in 1968; thousands
subsequently died of the disease. One of the anthropologists who administered
the vaccine later admitted that the strain used was dangerous for
immune-depressed people, producing ‘severe symptoms in people suffering from
anaemia, dysentery or chronic exposure to malaria, and the Yanomami suffered
from all three.’ https://dwhume.com/darkness_documents/0034.htm
If we accept the latest official
suggestion, that our immune systems have been weakened by lockdowns and social
distancing, then perhaps that may help explain 2021’s outbreak of the ‘worst
cold ever’ https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-58624295
. We might go further and ask whether our resistance to Covid itself may have
been dangerously lowered – and maybe the risk of severe anaphylaxis has been
raised; who knows for sure?
All vaccination is a calculated
risk, but in the current case I feel we still do not have enough information to
make an accurate personal calculation; instead, we are getting propaganda and
redaction. I took the gamble and was double-jabbed over six months ago; I
didn’t react badly, but there has been a bit of an ache in my chest for a long
time as though I was coming down with flu; and I have been sneezing a few times
a day, for weeks and months. Maybe it’s a coincidence, maybe not.
Now I’ve been nudged by post, and hounded
daily by text, to get the booster jab. Will I do it? On balance, considering my
circumstances, probably yes. Am I sanguine about it? No.