Karl Denninger is emphatic that there's going to be a deflation, not inflation, and investing in metals won't save us.
Part of his argument is that the money supply is determined not just by how much there is in the economy, but also by how fast it changes hands (its "velocity"). If the heartbeat of economic activity slows, the monetary pressure will reduce.
Denninger shares the growing concern that subprime losses could be of the order of $1 trillion, and believes
... we are literally weeks or a handful of months away from an utter implosion in the equity markets.
I believe we are very, very close to the precipice - and that nothing Bernanke or Paulson can do now will change the outcome. The opportunity to address this and stop it expired a few years ago, with the cumulative damage growing the longer regulators fail to act.
In which case, it's time to hold cash, which on American notes says is good "for all debts".
This reminds me of another quotation I can't source: "Would that I could be so certain of anything as he is of everything." I suspect he may be right on this one; then again, I would, since I've been feeling it in my bones for about a decade, before the official policy became to inflate our way out of all troubles.