Sunday, August 03, 2025

Civil war? Place your Betz

The Government is storing up trouble by ignoring a vital principle. This has happened many times in our history and the results are generally disastrous.

It is an ancient maxim derived from Roman law and Edward I quoted it in 1295: ‘what touches all should be approved by all’ (ut quod omnes tangit ab omnibus approbetur.) So was launched his Model Parliament that invited representatives of the Church, aristocracy and commoners. It was intended to get agreement for taxes to fund the King’s military adventures on the Continent.

However two years later Edward needed more resources. He tried to tax the clergy without Parliament’s say-so, press nobles into military service and seize England's wool exports. His barons ganged up and forced him not only to reconfirm Magna Carta but to add extra clauses specifying penalties for infringing it. These last he hived off into a separate document and eventually (1306) got the Pope to revoke it.

Nevertheless the ’Great Charter of Liberties’ was re-established as the foundation of the people’s relations with the monarch. It is something the ruling power has hated and struggled against ever since; something far more important than the right to informed consent: the right to informed dissent.

The would-be tyrant’s first point of attack is the public’s access to correct information and full understanding.

We saw this in the vexed story of our membership of the pan-European political project. Our entry into the ‘Common Market’ was validated by a 1970 Conservative General Election manifesto that promised ‘we can stand on our own if the price is too high’ - a price that Edward Heath accepted even when he realised belatedly that it would destroy our fishing industry.

Ten years earlier Lord Kilmuir had advised him on the potential subjugation of our laws to the Council of Ministers and of our courts to the European Court of Justice: ‘the surrenders of sovereignty involved are serious ones and […] should be brought out into the open now.’ On a matter of such import it was insufficient to play down the implications and smuggle the issue into a general manifesto like poisoned mushrooms into a stew; especially since according to a 2017 General Election survey “two-thirds of the UK public (67%) either don't read manifestos, or they don't know what they are.”

The February 1974 Labour manifesto said accordingly "The British people were never consulted about the Market.” When Harold Wilson came to power he submitted the issue to the public in a referendum boasting of his tough renegotiations with the Common Market in which his most important objectives had been “FOOD and MONEY and JOBS" (capitalisation sic); but not our power to say no, which the European citizens still do not have.

The fifth of Tony Benn’s “five questions” is “how do we get rid of you?” Thanks to the Lib-Con Coalition’s Fixed Term Parliaments Act (2011) we cannot get rid of Sir Keir Starmer before 2029 unless he wishes to go (or a Labour Conference defenestrates him in a leadership battle.)***

In the meantime there are to begin with two major issues on which majority consent has not been obtained and where informed dissent is being suppressed: the continued drive for mass immigration and our gradualist re-binding to the Europeanists’ empire.

The growing tensions have led commentators to speculate on a prediction by professor of war studies David Betz that we will see civil war in Britain within five years. This writer sees it as unlikely.

In the first place the threat to domestic peace is not a general uprising but sporadic unrest in areas particularly affected by social and economic tensions. There has also been conflict between minority groups as for example in Leicester in 2022. Anarchy may be more of a threat than revolution.

Secondly, a tyrannical regime can survive a long time with the use of propaganda, secret police and paramilitary law enforcement. Today the ruler’s grip can be even tighter and longer, because of the development and spread of personal communications technology. Within the last twenty years smartphones have appeared and (so Grok says) are now used by 98% of under-55s and 85% of over-65s in the UK. The liar, censor and police informer are in your pocket.

Our government spies at will on all our electronic communications, has legislated online information and discussion and could easily shut it off altogether. It has even shown it can ‘de-bank’ individuals whose opinions it dislikes - Canada did so on a large scale during the truckers’ protests.

In 1991 Tony Benn told Parliament “riot has historically played a much larger part in British politics than we are ever allowed to know.” In the past, public reactions have sometimes acted as a moderating system, like the ‘governor’ in an engine. But today’s State with its technology and vast publicly-funded manpower can control the masses in ways that the villainous despots of the twentieth century could hardly dream about. It is also poised to stamp out more organised pockets of resistance, as we saw in the brief appearance in 2020 of a stab-vested Black Lives Matter militia in Brixton; even the media coverage of this incident ceased very soon afterwards.

But when dissent is long and effectively suppressed the governorless machine may begin to ‘run hot’ and eventually break down. The longer the correction is delayed the greater the damage.

The problem is made more intractable because executive might is no longer centred either in the monarch or in his Prime Minister. If Dominic Cummings is right the seat of power is in the Cabinet Office which scripts not only Starmer’s responses in Prime Minister’s Questions but his and his ministers’ contributions in Cabinet meetings. Directy and indirectly the Office employs as many as 10,000 people - who can identify and call to account the prime movers in that morass?

If we cannot pull these threads together and place them in the hands of people who are directly answerable to the electorate we may become a fragmented and failed state.

*** Correction: the Fixed Term Parliament Act (2011) was repealed in 2022. Now, if the Government loses a vote of no confidence the Prime Minister will be 'expected' to resign or 'request' a dissolution of Parliament from the Monarch; otherwise the Government's term finishes five years after the previous General Election. What happens if the PM refuses to resign?
(A version of this, minus the incorrect paragraph appears on Wolves of Westminster.)

Friday, August 01, 2025

FRIDAY MUSIC: Lord Huron, by JD

Lord Huron is a Los Angeles-based American indie rock band composed of Mark Barry (drums, percussion), Miguel Briseño (bass, keyboard, theremin), Tom Renaud (guitar) and founder Ben Schneider (guitar, lead vocals). They released their debut album Lonesome Dreams in 2012, their second album Strange Trails in 2015, their third album Vide Noir in 2018, their fourth album Long Lost in 2021, and their fifth and most recent album The Cosmic Selector Vol. 1 in 2025.

Lord Huron combines country, western, folk rock, rock and roll, pop melodies and surf rock with soundtrack and new age influences to produce a sound The Wall Street Journal described as having "a decidedly cinematic flair, heavy on mood and evocative imagery. Lord Huron brings to mind the high-lonesome sound of antecedents like the Band, Neil Young, My Morning Jacket and Fleet Foxes".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord_Huron

Lord Huron - La Belle Fleur Sauvage, Sandy UT, 5/31/2025 live
Lord Huron - Fool For Love (Official Audio)
Lord Huron - When the Night is Over (LIVE)
Lord Huron - Love Me Like You Used To
Lord Huron - Nothing I Need
Lord Huron - Fire Eternal (feat. Kazu Makino) (Official Audio)

Saturday, July 26, 2025

Cat incident

Up onto the duvet, all affection.

Then the licking begins. And the scratching. Faster and faster, bending and twisting, falling over so we have to support her. Bit of a smell - gas? Still she goes, reaching over her fat.

‘I’ll get this - uff! - flea if it’s - urgh! - the last thing I…’ - psssss.

‘I’ll go and lie down over here now, at the end of the bed. Where it’s dry.’

Friday, July 25, 2025

FRIDAY MUSIC: Maria Daines, by JD

Maria Daines is a multi-award winning International vocalist and songwriter.

Based in the UK, Maria and guitarist/producer Paul Killington write songs in many genres. Maria writes lyrics and melodies and multi-instrumentalist Paul composes the music, playing all live instruments on their recordings.

Daines/Killington extensive back catalogue is published in the UK by NorthStar Music Ltd. Several songs feature in film documentary, 'Saving America's Horses', 'A Minority Pastime' and 'Dark Water Rising' the survival stories of family pets rescued during Hurricane Katrina.

https://maria-daines.com/home

Maria Daines ~ Lullaby of Wolves

Maria Daines ~ You Don't Love Me


Maria Daines ~ Ain't You The Man (new video)


Maria Daines ~ Wild and Free


Maria Daines ~ Dirty Coal ~ Lyric video


Maria Daines ~ Hymn of Hope


JD adds: she is described as a 'Blues' singer and she has the voice for it but she is more than that. She covers a variety of styles of music and is good in all of them. Yet another singer who deserves wider recognition.

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Huzzah for the hols! PMQs 16th July 2025

Criticising Sir Keir is like firing children’s sucker-tipped arrows at a battle tank.

When the Opposition leader spoke of inflation, higher taxes and unemployment he shot out the usual smoke shells of how much Labour was spending to ‘fix the country,’ playing Summer Santa as the Chancellor’s careworn head continued to nod. He then accused Badenoch of ‘talking the country down’ and resumed learning the lines in his folder, only looking up mildly as she clarified that she was ‘talking the Prime Minister down.’

Kemi asked about possible taxes on pension contributions, reminding us how Starmer’s own pension had been uniquely boosted by an Act of Parliament; the PM would not be drawn on the first point and ignored the second.

Later, the Tories’ Lincoln Jupp said ‘I can see why you call these sessions Prime Minister’s questions and not Prime Minister’s answers, Mr Speaker’ to cries of ‘more!’ but his topical cricket analogy (‘more pace and less spin’) was easily brushed off.

Also for the Conservatives, Graham Stuart ironically congratulated Starmer on his first year in office and compared the Labour manifesto to a popular book, The Salt Path, in that both were ‘a total pack of lies.’ The PM added another fib when he said it was the reason for his Party’s ‘landslide victory.’

In his opening remarks Starmer had his own ammunition to lob in the form of the Afghan scandal, in which a data breach under the previous Government had necessitated a rescue operation to give asylum to some 24,000 Afghani soldiers who had cooperated with our armed forces. This hugely expensive blunder had been kept secret since 2023 by the use of a ‘super-injunction’ - the first time the Government has employed one to cover its embarrassment and to hide the truth even from MPs. Before PMQs had begun the Speaker said ‘this episode raises significant constitutional issues. I have therefore asked the Clerks to consider whether any lessons need to be learned from this case.’

The first lesson, already well learned, is that we have two dying Parties vying to control a restive populace riven by conflicts of identity and loyalty which mass immigration has exacerbated.

Much of this has arisen from British military adventurism. As Sir Edward Leigh said on Tuesday and was quoted by Peter Hitchens today:

‘What an appalling mess, but part of the original sin was our intervening militarily and then scuttling out. On a wider point, may I take it that we have learnt our lesson and have got over the liberal imperial itch of the Cameron and Blair eras to intervene militarily in ungovernable countries such as Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria and Libya?’

LibDem leader Ed Davey promised his Party’s support if the PM decides to pursue a public inquiry into the affair. He went on to deplore the rise of antisemitism in this country yet also the ‘scenes’ from Gaza and Israel’s plan to ‘lock the whole population of Gaza into what is effectively a giant prison—a plan that would clearly amount to ethnic cleansing.’

Later, Labour’s Imran Hussein built on Davey’s Gaza comments, almost shouting as he said ‘Israel is starving Palestinian children… killing Palestinian children… genocide.’ Readers will be aware, not necessarily from the mainstream media, that there is more than one side to these stories. The PM agreed that alleged incidents needed to be investigated and reiterated his position that the hostages had to be freed, civilians protected and more aid sent into the Strip.

Other old wounds continue to fester. Colum Eastwood of the SDLP asked Starmer to reconfirm that ‘no murderer [from the Troubles in Northern Ireland] would be immune from prosecution.’ The PM replied that the last Government’s 2023 Act (protecting soldiers and other security personnel) had been struck down (by Northern Ireland’s High Court and Court of Appeal) as unlawful (as being incompatible with the European Convention on Human Rights.) He promised to create ‘a secure, transparent system.’ We shall see; Starmer’s comment ‘This is a complicated issue and we have to get it right’ may imply a lengthy delay. Meanwhile this is another complication made by our accepting the ECHR.

For the Conservatives Sir Desmond Swayne reminded us that ‘Jack Straw told us that the Human Rights Act 1998 places on us no expectation that we will remedy a declaration of incompatibility issued by a court, so the Prime Minister is wrong to say that the legacy Act is struck down. His own proposals, which open the door to compensation to Gerry Adams and place in jeopardy our own servicemen, present enormous difficulty to those of us who have served.’ The PM contented himself with rehearsing what he had said to Colum Eastwood.

Were he to play ‘Just A Minute’ Sir Keir might often have the hooter for repetition and deviation.

Our Government’s wish to tighten its grip on us citizens was helped by Paul Waugh (Lab Co-op) who said ‘we need to speed up the roll-out of digital IDs’ so that we could tackle ‘the menace of illegal working, particularly by illegal migrants from Iran and Iraq in bogus barber shops and fake vape shops.’ Starmer was pleased to agree.

This was the last PMQs of term. Honourable Members refrained from throwing their caps into the Thames, signing each other’s blouses and shirts and coating everyone with flour and egg. The fun of ruining the country will recommence in September.

Friday, July 18, 2025

FRIDAY MUSIC: Hollow Coves, by JD

Hollow Coves is an Australian indie folk band formed in Gold Coast, Australia in 2013. The band consists of vocalists and guitarists Ryan Henderson and Matt Carins.

The pair recorded music in a garage that was uploaded just before they parted ways to Canada and England. The music became popular on Spotify in a very short amount of time which resulted in immediate fame and record deals. They decided to stay where they were living, but recorded and wrote songs long distance using online resources.
Officially formed in 2013, they released their first EP "Drifting" in October 2014 and now both reside in Queensland.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hollow_Coves

Hollow Coves - Coastline (Lakeside Acoustic Session)
Hollow Coves - Blessings (Official Music Video)
Hollow Coves - Patience (Live Acoustic Session)
Hollow Coves - Anew (Live in Melbourne)
Hollow Coves - These Memories (Official Music Video)
Hollow Coves & Oskar Schuster - These Memories (Piano Rework
JD adds:

All of this new music I have found recently has one thing in common and that is many of the songs have millions of views which means they all have large fan bases; in fact they have another thing in common, they are completely ignored by the 'music business' as well as radio and TV. So I can just about forgive YouTube for all the adverts.

Sunday, July 13, 2025

Back to the 70s - PMQs 9th July 2025

In their opening remarks the PM and the Leader of the Opposition both paid tribute to Lord Tebbit who died on Monday.

Mrs Badenoch said Tebbit had ‘helped to save our country from the chaos of the 1970s.’ She said that Sir Keir was ‘dragging us back’ to that era, what with ‘doctors’ strikes; tax bombshells; the wealthy leaving in droves.’

Kemi’s questions still need sharpening. When she said ‘In its manifesto last year, Labour promised not to increase income tax, not to increase national insurance and not to increase VAT. Does the Prime Minister still stand by his promises?’ Starmer simply replied ‘yes.’ Readers can work out for themselves the weaselly angles in that answer; not for nothing does the Mail’s Littlejohn call him “a complete and utter lawyer.”

Similarly Badenoch said unemployment has risen every month in the last year and Starmer said 384,000 jobs have been created. It is possible for both statements to be true; what has been clarified?

The PM spoke of ‘£120 billion of inward investment' into the UK but it is hard to find a breakdown of that figure. Is it investment that will provide a profit for us? For example, the US giant Blackrock has reportedly bought £1.4 billion-worth of UK houses - cui bono? As Harold Macmillan said in 1985, criticising the Conservatives’ privatization strategy: 'First of all the Georgian silver goes, and then all that nice furniture that used to be in the saloon. Then the Canalettos go.'

Starmer goes further, in the case of Chagos - he gives away the asset and then pays heavily for its use. On the strength of that Mauritius is cancelling its national debt and exempting 80 per cent of its employed from income tax. If he could do that here we’d all vote for him.

Instead there is talk of a wealth tax on the rich as mooted by Neil Kinnock and former Welsh First Minister Mark Drakeford. The PM refused to be drawn on this, either by Badenoch or the Greens’ Adrian Ramsay. Qui tacet consentire videtur. Let’s see where a Denis Healey-like “squeeze” gets us. Will it apply to “property speculators” Blackrock?

It is not clear that the PM can distinguish between investment and charitable spending. He said the employers’ National Insurance increase was an “investment that […] went into the NHS.” Naturally we want the sick, injured and disabled to be supported, but how much of that yields a profit in the form of a return to taxable work?

Another difficult area is Special Educational Needs and Disability (SEND), especially in the case of children. The PM said Labour had “invested an additional £1 billion in SEND.” Your correspondent has worked in SEND for years and the interventions are hugely expensive. Primary age children excluded from mainstream can be helped and then it often blows up when they progress to secondary schools where tolerance is limited because teachers have pressing goals to attain.

These causes are worthwhile but we have to be able to afford them. The country cannot get back on track if it continues to add foreign claimants on a massive scale. It may swell GDP but at what point will inward migration actually pay for itself? Astonishingly, Starmer asserted that “migration [is] coming down”; there must be some exceptionally subtle way to justify that. When Nigel Farage aired the issue he could scarcely be heard for barracking; his Reform colleague Lee Anderson raised this as a Point Of Order and the Speaker blandly replied that Farage “is capable of dealing with his own battles.”

The PM himself had said Reform had no reason to complain about immigration as they had voted against his Borders Bill - without revealing one of the devils in the detail: it “abolishes the Home Secretary’s power to remove asylum seekers to so-called “safe third countries.” That link refers to the possible legal objection of “refoulement” but it must be remembered that a sovereign UK Parliament can do anything it wants, provided the Bill’s wording is clear and explicit, notwithstanding any other law anywhere.

One way to save money is on justice for the wronged. Ben Lake (Plaid Cymru) told how a constituent who had been exonerated at retrial after five years’ imprisonment could not get compensation “due to a 2014 change to the law that requires those who have been wrongfully imprisoned to prove their innocence beyond all reasonable doubt. That is an almost impossible hurdle to overcome.” Sir Keir said he had “undertaken to look at it,” which is almost a non-promise.

The PMQs session segued into a further sinister development, the creeping plan to do away with jury trials. The Justice Minister Sarah Sackman told Robert Jenrick (Con) that in the interests of swift justice jury trials “will remain in place for the most serious cases.” We hear a progressive cutting-away coming, as with King Lear’s retinue.

Peter Hitchens is quite right to warn us as he does today. Having served on a jury your correspondent can confirm how important it is to weigh the evidence and arguments of witnesses, police and court officials in the minds of the jurors who are given the greatest responsibility and a derisory allowance for their time.

The Minister quotes Clause 40 of Magna Carta as saying “To no one will we…delay right or justice” but the debate needs to centre on Clause 39:

“No free man is to be arrested, or imprisoned, or disseised, or outlawed, or exiled, or in any other way ruined, nor will we go against him or send against him, except by the lawful judgment of his peers or by the law of the land.”

This does not specify a jury trial though in custom and practice that is what it has long been taken to imply. Once juries are largely done away with the system can drift towards bureaucratic efficiency - impatience in a gown.

If there is a court backlog perhaps it is because crime has proliferated owing to lax policies regarding policing and reluctance to prosecute, and sentencing that seems set to offer up to an 80 percent reduction in time actually served.

Evil grows out of anarchy, not out of just, prompt and firm rule. Have we not seen this with grooming gangs? And then when society feels itself under threat will come tyranny.

Long live Magna Carta.