Tuesday, March 22, 2022
EMAIL FROM AMERICA (1): GOP States net beneficiaries of Fed finance, fake Covid research; by Paddington
Monday, March 21, 2022
Nuclear war: ‘we never expected that!’ by Sackerson
This policy seems inconsistent. It has maintained its focus
on a State that is no longer officially Communist at the same time that hardline
Communist China has been developing her own ‘perches’ in the Pacific, Africa
and South America as part, we assume, of a plan to displace the US as Top
Nation. John Mearsheimer, who in 2015 judged the West responsible for the crisis
in Ukraine https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4
, now says that the US partnership with China was a huge blunder and we should
settle with Russia in order to ‘pivot’ and deal with the Middle Kingdom instead
https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/Interview/U.S.-engagement-with-China-a-strategic-blunder-Mearsheimer . Seeing how the US has fed the Chinese dragon for
decades and thereby weakened its own economy, it may be too late.
Nevertheless, the signs
are that the unipolar (and monocular) ambition has not been abandoned, even
though it is and has long been insanely dangerous. Next October will mark sixty
years since the Cuban Missile Crisis, which all over a certain age will remember,
yet many will not connect this confrontation with the fifteen Russia-targeted US
nuclear missiles set up and made operational at Izmir, Turkey in the preceding
February; which was a factor in Khrushchev’s decision to assent to Castro’s
request to position US-targeted missiles in Cuba. From Izmir to Moscow is about
1,500 miles; from Kyiv, merely 500; no wonder Russia has become so nervous
about NATO’s creeping-up game of ‘What’s the time, Mister Wolf?’ Had it not
been for the restraining hand of a Russian naval officer in 1962 https://web.archive.org/web/20210710213948/https://www.latinamericanstudies.org/cold-war/sovietsbomb.htm
most of us would have died long ago, or never been born.
When two parties get into a fight, at least one has
miscalculated. In a timely and startling article on Substack https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/people-ideas-machines-ii-catastrophic?s=r
, Dominic Cummings shows that the West’s assumption that Russia would not dare
to escalate from conventional to nuclear war was mistaken:
‘After the 1991 collapse some
scholars went to talk to those actually in charge in Russia. They read
documents. They discovered that we’d been wrong in crucial ways all along.
‘Actually the Soviets planned
early and heavy use of nuclear weapons in many scenarios including outbreak of
conventional war in Europe.’
In 1963, on the night President Kennedy was shot, British
tank transporters rumbled past our front door (literally) in North Germany, on
their way to what we now know would have been nuclear obliteration. Today, Russia
and the US have between them over 11,000 nuclear warheads, some 3,000 of which
are ready to be deployed. https://sofrep.com/news/100-seconds-to-midnight-a-glance-at-the-worlds-nuclear-weapons/
Cummings claims that our decision makers do not take the
danger seriously. After he was grudgingly allowed three hours to elaborate on
our military unpreparedness, the Prime Minister told him ‘What a waste of my
time.’
Western war planners think they are dealing with rational
actors and know all the play variations, but seem not to understand the romance
of death. CD says that as Japan faced defeat in 1945 their General Anami was proposing
to see his nation destroyed ‘like a beautiful flower.’ Churchill himself
stiffened the spines of his Cabinet in 1940 with a moving speech that had them
beating the table with their fists: ‘If this long island story of ours is to
end at last, let it end only when each one of us lies choking in his own blood
upon the ground.’ The old soldier was utterly serious – I remember reading how
his wife handed their daughter a large knife against the day the Germans
invaded.
So far, awful as they are, the more reliable statistics for
the Ukraine conflict https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2022/03/ukraine-civilian-casualty-update-20-march-2022
show a policy of limited aggression with the possibility of negotiated peace.
We can do without a Fourth Estate fanning the flames of hysteria and a
leadership more engaged in winning the next election – probably soon, once the
Fixed Term Parliaments Act is abolished https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-to-fulfil-manifesto-commitment-and-scrap-fixed-term-parliaments-act
- than heeding the dreadful warning. https://www.flashlyrics.com/lyrics/the-watersons/christmas-is-now-drawing-near-at-hand-50
So proud and lofty is some sort of
sin
Which many take delight and pleasure
in
Whose conversation God doth much
dislike
And yet He shakes His sword before He
strike
Sunday, March 20, 2022
Science, and religion as magic, by 'Alexander'
Saturday, March 19, 2022
WEEKENDER: Council Tax - Fair or Not? by Wiggia
Friday, March 18, 2022
FRIDAY MUSIC: Chelters and Irish festivity
Wednesday, March 16, 2022
Ukraine: a completely avoidable tragedy, by Sackerson
Other members of our family headed for the Baltic states and
were caught behind the Iron Curtain; we have no idea of their names and
addresses. Axel, the cousin our mother loved, was killed on the Eastern Front.
The farm, annually buried in winter so deep in snow that the family were locked
in and lived off stored provisions, warmed by the high tiled oven (a coffee cup
went missing for months because a tall relative had left it on the top), furnished
with art and fine furniture including an amber-topped table: who knows if it
still stands, or who lives in it.
Mother got to Hamburg, where displaced people were surviving
by stealing from the ships in harbour; her sack of swag turned out to be tobacco,
so she bought a pipe – she had used to half-smoke cigars for a fat old uncle to
concentrate the tar and nicotine in the other half for him. An American GI tried
to strangle her in revenge for the death of his buddy; mother broke his hold, climbed
over a wall and came to see his CO the next day so no-one else would be killed.
Then she met a British soldier.
Her parents made it to Holstein, where father, pushing
sixty, worked with his hands for the first time in his life; we still have a
painting by her mother of haystacks. Then Wiesbaden and a flat paid for out of
government compensation, where Opa helped refugees reunite; we have an oak
plaque from his former neighbours, with the motto ‘Die Treue is das Mark der
Ehre’ (fidelity is the mark of honour.) A big man, squashed down from 600 acres
with dozens of farmworkers, to four rooms in an apartment block.
Survival; but a permanent shattering of community and shared
history.
This is what has been wished on the Ukrainians, and not just
by the Russians. A word inserted by PM Johnson (among others) early into the
narrative of the invasion is ‘unprovoked’, presumably with an eye to dragging
President Putin to a war crimes tribunal. I can hardly wait for that day, so
that the other third parties whose meddling has caused this tragedy can be exposed.
Provocation does not exonerate violence, but can mitigate the punishment; who
would be coming to the court with clean hands?
Not the EU, gobbling one ex-Warsaw Pact country after another
like a Labrador with no appetite off-switch, even though nations it has already
digested have reason to regret their membership; so letting them into NATO, which
has played ‘What’s the time, Mister Wolf?’ for thirty years after the Soviet
Union’s collapse, bringing military threat ever closer to Russia’s borders
despite promises that it wouldn’t. Not the offshore-billionaire Zelenskyy,
almost a prisoner of his ultranationalists, trying to draw the wider West into
a conflict that raises the ghost of 1962 and surprised when, like the Syrian
Armenians, his supposed friends have left him high and dry. Not the countries
that have stood off but poured in money and weapons (what a bonanza for the arms
manufacturers who spend so much on lobbying) to ‘help’ Ukraine, so prolonging
and intensifying the conflict.
Now, months after Putin’s demand that Ukraine remain out of
NATO https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/17/russia-issues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-nato
was rejected out of hand, Zelenskyy has agreed, saying (he is his own
spin-doctor) that Russia is becoming more reasonable in negotiations; perhaps
the hawkish commentators detecting imminent Russian military collapse are mistaken.
Will we get back to Minsky II, but only after a reported three million refugees
and the vast, heart-breaking wreckage of the nation’s property and
infrastructure?
On the road again, the ordinary people played with by war
planners and geopolitical strategists.
Saturday, March 12, 2022
WEEKENDER: Has Nigel Overreached? by Wiggia
One of the so so green energy by products. |
The rebuff from Dale Vince, carefully groomed to look every inch the eco warrior, about smart grids is a nod to the fact that green energy alone cannot supply energy in a way that could ever be acceptable to the population or industry. Talk of breaks in supply and getting up in the middle of the night to use your energy ‘allowance’ is a step back in to pre industrial revolution times; why should anyone accept that and pay through the nose for it?