Presiding over indebtedness... or as helpless as King Canute?
Sunday, June 21, 2009
US public debt since 1945 - inflation-adjusted
Sources: Treasury Direct, Robert Sahr. Click to enlarge.
Presiding over indebtedness... or as helpless as King Canute?
Presiding over indebtedness... or as helpless as King Canute?
A samizdat on Europe
How many Internet users in the UK, with their own printer at home or permitted some private use at work?
Why can we not design and post up a form - a petitition for a referendum, for printing-off and taking round for signing by work colleagues, friends and neighbours? With a request that everyone follows suit - downloads, prints, distributes and posts into a central address?
Or even an unofficial, but fairly-worded referendum itself?
Or are we indeed "entering a post-democratic age?"
So, never mind the Lisbon Treaty, that sly strategy to get us into the bedroom on some basis other than the consummation of marriage? Is it not time to seek democratic legitimation of the UK's membership of the EU per se?
Why can we not design and post up a form - a petitition for a referendum, for printing-off and taking round for signing by work colleagues, friends and neighbours? With a request that everyone follows suit - downloads, prints, distributes and posts into a central address?
Or even an unofficial, but fairly-worded referendum itself?
Or are we indeed "entering a post-democratic age?"
Saturday, June 20, 2009
US Public debt vs. gold
Still trying to see the debt mountain in context... So let's see how hard it would be to pay off in gold, assuming that in 1791 a single "bag" of gold would have cleared the account.
For the first 70 years, the gold-priced public debt was always less than twice its 1791 level, and often below the starting point.
Now to see the progress of the public debt since 1860:
... and second, since 1945:
For the first 70 years, the gold-priced public debt was always less than twice its 1791 level, and often below the starting point.
Now to see the progress of the public debt since 1860:
... and second, since 1945:
These pictures seem to indicate the influence of:
(a) two world wars
(b) the closure of the "gold window" in 1971
(c) monetary expansion since the 1980s
(d) the Grand Bust of 2000, NOT 2007, and the consequent flight to commodities
- and on this way of measuring the catastrophe, we're 50% worse off than at the end of WWII - plus we're not rebuilding the economy, we're doing the reverse.
Glory days
How did they do it? How can we do it again?
Perhaps staying out of wars, and quickly jailing greedy bankers, would be a start.
Perhaps staying out of wars, and quickly jailing greedy bankers, would be a start.
US Public Debt - annual rate of change
And the rate of change in the past has been frightening at times.
Here's the overall view from 1791 onwards:
Next, from 1945 to now:
Before that, The Roaring Twenties up to the end of World War II:
1900 - 1920:
1835 - 1900:
And from 1791 to 1835:
Here's the overall view from 1791 onwards:
Next, from 1945 to now:
Before that, The Roaring Twenties up to the end of World War II:
1900 - 1920:
1835 - 1900:
And from 1791 to 1835:
US Public Debt - the long view
The figures in the following graphs are from Treasury Direct. They are not adjusted for inflation, population size or GDP - all three of which would make interesting bases for comparison. But perhaps these pictures will show that the USA has come through equally bad, or worse, times before now.
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