Sunday, December 19, 2021

Waco's message for our times?

Either Andy McNab was taking unconscionable liberties with the facts, a mere dozen years after Waco (and ten years after the connected Oklahoma Bombing), or the handling of events there was even more brutal than I remembered from the coverage at the time.

According to 'Aggressor' (publ. 2005), the FBI besiegers were not constantly broadcasting 'loud music' at the Christians in their residential complex, but an endless loop of 'horrible, high-pitched noise like baby rabbits being slaughtered.'

In the story, when a five-year-old girl is on the line to a negotiator - critically, not on-site but miles away on an Air Force base, observes McNab's hero - she asks, 'Are you going to kill me?' and the answer is a bland reassurance the adult is in no position to give.

As armoured vehicles crash through the walls, accompanied by the message 'this is not an assault, do not fire any weapons', they inject into the buildings - occupied by many women and children as well as the men - not 'tear gas' but some gas designed to put people into bone-breaking convulsions, lethal in confined spaces. There are no ambulances on hand; this operation is not intended to result in a mass of surrendering survivors. 

In the book, the FBI commander on the ground, Jim D. Bastendorf' aka 'Bastard' is a swaggering, rhino-skinned bullyboy and his men are utter oafs, dropping their trousers at the modest Branch Davidian women and yelling victoriously as the 'compound' is trashed and a massive fire breaks out.

It all sickens the Brits, but when they protest they are brushed off as 'faggots'. 

Police and Delta Force are there, too, together with a mass of rubberneckers and TV outfits come to watch the fun as the 'cult' is tackled in its 'compound.' There is a barrel organ, a fairgound, stalls selling fast food and T-shirts.

McNab's character sees this episode as a PR job for the authorities and a bloody-handed revenge for an earlier, failed attack on the Davidians that resulted in four ATF officers dead and sixteen wounded:

    'The Davidians returned fire, as they were entitled to do under American law. They even called 911 to      tell the police they were being attacked, and begged for help.'

The Posse Comitatus Act of 1878 forbids the use of military force against US citizens; but McNab says, President Clinton had signed a waiver in the case of 'drugs interdiction operations' and despite being invited to see for themselves that there were no drugs on-site the authorities used this excuse to militarise. 

According to a Vox post, Clinton pooh-poohed claims of official culpability the day after the raid, saying, 'I do not think the United States government is responsible for the fact that a bunch of religious fanatics decided to kill themselves.' One could wish that instead of screening louche rubbish about his affair with Monica Lewinsky the BBC would look at more serious aspects of his Presidency - including the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act (which he signed off in 1999) that arguably initiated the process of destroying our financial system.

And now we have the Biden Administration pushing at Russia's borders in the usual ham-fisted way, risking an absolutely dreadful sequence of events. Given enough distance, reality transforms into fantasy and myth; perhaps the chess-players of Washington imagine that the Ukraine is so far away that not one blade of American grass will bend in a Northern-hemisphere-wide nuclear firestorm.

I hope McNab wasn't faking the facts; though on reflection I wish he was. Either way, the crucial element is mindset, and it seems it's not only anarchists and Trump's good ol' boys who are moronic and thuggish. Perhaps the American Establishment depends on a poor education system and cheerleading dross from the mass media to help them get away with their crass and dangerous behaviour at home and abroad.

Saturday, December 18, 2021

WEEKENDER: Stoicism - A Worthy Trait ? by Wiggia


This from the Daily Fail, the story of Mary Berry breaking her hip while out walking her dogs:

“Her daughter Annabel was at a tennis tournament so she phoned her son-in-law Dan, who arrived within ten minutes.

"She said: 'He saw me and said, 'I'll get an ambulance'. I said, 'Oh, no, I'm fine', but he overruled me. He rang for the ambulance and they said, 'We're very, very busy'. It was Sunday afternoon and there were lots of football injuries and whatever.'

"The star, whose two dogs Darcy and Freddie were at her side the whole time, continued: 'We waited for three-and-a-half hours, until 6pm, and quite right too! I was perfectly happy."

Nothing against the old girl, but it is this hero worship of the NHS which enables it to never change. If she thinks three and a half hours waiting for an ambulance 'is fine' she is living on planet Zog. What if she had had no son-in-law to phone, what if it had been below freezing, would she still have said that is fine? Yes, the older generation, which I am now part of, have a certain resilience when emergencies crop up, but not this, when we all pay for a service that in many areas is now almost non-existent. To me it is just another example of a service we pay for not being fit for purpose.

Yet Mary Berry’s action or inaction is typical of a generation who had no health service when they were born, certainly nothing like the fledgling NHS when it emerged post war. Youngsters today have no idea what a world without the State taking care of things, or pretending to, was like and would not understand why Mary Berry or anyone else would just lie there in pain and take that attitude to seeking help.

My late mother had a fall from which she could not get up. Fortunately my sister who lived nearby had given her a phone to use in emergencies, but she didn’t use it as she thought that she did not want to make a fuss. By luck my sister called round and through the letter box heard my mum cry out; she had a key and let herself in, to find my mother on the floor were she had fallen and been there for eight hours not able to get up.

The emergency services were called and all eventually was well, but that attitude among so many of that generation pales into insignificance against the entitled-to-everything brigade today.

It was also interesting how my sister, God bless her, was well-informed after previous encounters with local services and the NHS not to take the first answer as the final one. Even getting my mother moved to a place nearer her so she could be on hand showed how a council, Hackney that shut down at 2 p.m. on Fridays and were quite blatant about the fact, could be an obstacle that being a stoic would never have overcome.

My mother like Mary Berry would not have wanted to be ‘a bother’; admirable in wartime, but now one cannot help but feel those who think and act that way are simply taken advantage of and bypassed.
There was a similar example of a lady who fell and was on a cold floor for over eight hours recently; she managed to phone for an ambulance, but it appears she was not a priority and that was why she spent eight hours on the floor.

You get the feeling that unless there is someone else on hand, in many cases the elderly can be ignored with impunity, such is the chaos and breakdown of the NHS and subsidiaries, but sadly some of the problem is a contempt that permeates through sections of the NHS and society in general for anyone who is deemed disposable and can be dumped at the bottom of the queue.

The dumping of the elderly without complaint into care homes may well turn out to be the worst example in our recent history of a deliberate decision to override the obvious hazards entailed with that action - and a disaster it proved to be. If so, in an ever-selfish, divided world stoicism is shown to be a trait that may well have run its course. As we have seen in the last couple of years, those who shout loudest and threaten regardless of the paucity of their claims get the biggest slice of the cake; stoicism won't get you anything today.

Of his many quoted sayings, this one by Seneca was never more apt:

"Misfortune weighs most heavily on those who expect nothing but good fortune,"

Friday, December 17, 2021

FRIDAY MUSIC: A Selection For Christmas, by JD

"Christmas is coming, the geese are getting fat

Please put a penny in the old man's hat

If you haven't got a penny, a ha'penny will do

If you haven't got a ha'penny, then God bless you!"










Thursday, December 16, 2021

THURSDAY BACKTRACK: Music and news from 60 years ago - week ending 16 December 1961

 At #5 this week, another classic: Kenny Ball's 'Midnight In Moscow':



Some memorable events (via Wikipedia):

10 December: 'The Soviet–Albanian split was culminated when the Communist government of Albania confirmed that the Soviet Union had severed diplomatic relations on December 3, marking the first time that the U.S.S.R. had ever withdrawn its embassy from another Communist state. Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev had criticized Albanian leaders Enver Hoxha and Mehmet Shehu at the 22nd Soviet Communist Party Congress after the Albanians refused to repudiated Stalinism. The People's Republic of China then began a program of emergency aid to the Balkan nation.'

11 December - Vietnam War begins: 'The Vietnam War officially began for the United States, as the USS Core arrived at Saigon Harbor. The ship brought in two helicopter units, the 8th Transportation Company from Fort Bragg and the 57th Transportation Company from Fort Lewis, with 33 H-21 Shawnee helicopters, and 400 U.S. Army personnel.'

12 December: 'Police in Tokyo arrested 13 men in a pre-dawn raid after uncovering a plot to assassinate Prime Minister Hayato Ikeda and the 16 members of his cabinet. The plot, under the cover of the "Society for Japanese History", was financed by industrialist Toyosaku Kawanami with the assistance of former Lt. General Tokutaro Sakurai.'

13 December: 'In Geneva, the United States and the Soviet Union announced that they had come to an agreement on the formation of a multinational discussion to reduce nuclear weapons, in a group described as the "Eighteen-Nation Committee on Disarmament". The United Nations General Assembly endorsed the idea one week later, and the group first met on March 14, 1962. The 18 nations were the U.S., the U.K., Italy, Canada and France; the U.S.S.R., Poland, Czechoslovakia, Bulgaria and Romania; and the non-aligned states of Mexico, Brazil, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Egypt, Sweden, India and Burma.'

14 December: 'The Presidential Commission on the Status of Women was created by Executive Order 10980 by U.S. President Kennedy, with former First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt as the honorary chairman. The Commission's report, American Women, was published in 1965 and described the unequal treatment faced by women in American society.'

15 December: 'The United Nations General Assembly declined a resolution to allow the People's Republic of China membership. The vote was 36 in favor, 48 against, with 20 abstentions. On the same day, the Assembly passed United Nations General Assembly Resolution 1668, declaring Communist Chinese membership an "important question", and requiring 2/3rds approval rather than a simple majority for all future votes on admission, passed 61-34, with seven abstentions.'

        Also on 15 December: 'Soviet KGB officer Anatoliy Golitsyn, who had memorized the details of secret documents and cases, defected to the West at the American CIA station office in Helsinki. Golitsyn has been described by one author as "perhaps the most controversial and divisive defector of the Cold War".'

16 December: 'The African National Congress, frustrated with peaceful attempts to end apartheid in South Africa, began a bombing campaign with a new organization, Umkhonto we Sizwe, setting off explosions at empty government buildings in Johannesburg, Port Elizabeth and Durban. "Had we intended to attack life," Nelson Mandela would say in a statement at his trial in 1964, "we would have selected targets where people congregated, and not empty buildings and power stations." The Manifesto of Umkhonto, published the same day, began, "The time comes in the life of any nation when there remain only two choices— submit or fight. That time has now come to South Africa. We shall not submit and we have no choice but to hit back by all means in our power in defence of our people, our future, and our freedom."[49] The only casualty was one of the saboteurs, Petrus Molefe, who died at the Dube township in Johannesburg, when the bomb he was placing exploded prematurely. There would be 190 attacks in all until the group was suppressed in 1963, and only one other death, when a young girl was killed by a bomb.'

UK chart hits, week ending 16 December 1961 (tracks in italics have been played in earlier posts)
Htp: Clint's labour-of love compilation https://www.sixtiescity.net/charts/61chart.htm

1

Tower Of Strength

Frankie Vaughan

Philips

2

Moon River

Danny Williams

HMV

3

Take Good Care Of My Baby

Bobby Vee

London

4

His Latest Flame / Little Sister

Elvis Presley

RCA

5

Midnight In Moscow

Kenny Ball

Pye

6

Walkin' Back To Happiness

Helen Shapiro

Columbia

7

Stranger On The Shore

Acker Bilk

Columbia

8

Big Bad John

Jimmy Dean

Philips

9

The Savage

The Shadows

Columbia

10

So Long Baby

Del Shannon

London

11

Let There Be Drums

Sandy Nelson

London

12

I'll Get By

Shirley Bassey

Columbia

13

My Friend The Sea

Petula Clark

Pye

14

Johnny Will

Pat Boone

London

15

Take Five

Dave Brubeck

Fontana

16

The Time Has Come

Adam Faith

Parlophone

17

Baby's First Christmas

Connie Francis

MGM

18

I'd Never Find Another You

Billy Fury

Decca

19

Son, This Is She

John Leyton

HMV

20

The Charleston

The Temperance Seven

Parlophone

20

Toy Balloons

Russ Conway

Columbia


Monday, December 13, 2021

Ukraine and the Zombie Apocalypse, by Sackerson

Thank goodness President Biden is taking on Russia. What would it be like to live in a country where the people are under constant surveillance and their movements restricted, journalists jailed or held without trial, the internet censored… oh…

As to the last, shall we conduct a little experiment? If you use Facebook, try copying and entering this link:

https://orientalreview.org/2021/12/09/putin-rejects-bidens-demand-that-the-u-s-take-control-over-the-negotiations-between-ukraine-and-its-former-donbass-region/

You should get this response from Zuckerman’s Metaverse:

orientalreview.org

Your post couldn't be shared, because this link goes against our 
Community Standards

If you think that this doesn't go against our Community Standards, 
let us know.

Now Oriental Review isn’t about porn, phishing, Trumpism or racism; but it offers a different narrative from the one submitted to us by ‘Tankie’ Liz Truss https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2021/11/30/liz-truss-ukraine-russia-tank-war-invasion/ and newbie Defence Staff Chief Toby Radakin https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10290237/Ukraine-conflict-biggest-World-War-II.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490 . Doubtless the Review has its own agenda (a wicked one, natch, never forget that Vlad is ‘mad, bad and dangerous to know’), but the point here is that Zuckers has now gone bootheels-up into the rabbit-hole of political censorship. Maybe the time has come for social media and their ‘fact-checkers’ to put our moribund traditional news channels out of their misery, get together and set up their electric neo-Pravda while we’re waiting to go full Matrix.

For there can be no alternative view. This is the age of Möbius-strip https://www.britannica.com/science/Mobius-strip discussion, as we see with the Wokeists, whose attitude on all topics is ‘you may think there are two sides to every argument, but in reality there is only one, the correct side, and we’re on it.’ Already Western students are re-enacting the Chinese Cultural Revolution by denouncing their teachers; how long before they invade the parks and begin tearing up the ‘bourgeois grass’? https://www.theage.com.au/entertainment/books/exposing-mao-20050710-ge0hld.html

Wait, what? Surely the Lefties are about material progress; the whole raison d'être of Britain’s Labour Party and the USA’s Democrats is to help the working class prosper to the point where their politicians aren’t needed any more. ‘Si monumentum requiris, circumspice’ https://www.nytimes.com/1982/01/31/travel/l-wren-s-epitaph-195156.html - or ‘Job done’ as our Boy Scout Bob-A-Job-Week stickers used to say. Not!

If the Left is good, surely the Commies are gooder? Ah, but the Russians aren’t Commies any more; maybe that’s what’s wrong with them. Hillary put her finger on it during her 2016 Presidential election campaign, according to the NYT last month https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/opinion/hillary-clinton-biden-trump.html – the Russkies are part of a global ‘vast right-wing conspiracy’ that prompted Putin to support Trump.

Just not Red enough. Maybe that’s why, after Khrushchev’s ‘thaw’ - attempts at reform and international rapprochement (until the CIA just had to go one more nuke-targeting overflight, get Gary Powers shot down and force K into the grisly arms of his Moscow hawks), Nixon and the State Department chose to build bridges with China instead – even as the evil Mao was still in his bed, reading about Chinese emperors for despotism tips when he wasn’t making serial use of starry-eyed Red nymphets; China, which had regarded Khrushchev and his government as despicable revisionists and traitors to the pure Marxism-Leninism they themselves espoused.

Yes, the USA gave its productive capacity to an ideological mortal enemy, the Chinese; feeding the dragon and impoverishing Fred Flintstone was a small price to pay for making the American elite insanely rich; rich enough to buy decommissioned nuclear bunkers in America’s midWest and boltholes in New Zealand for when it all goes very wrong for the plebs.

Meanwhile there is the proximate goal of Democrat wins in the 2022 elections. Western governments have seen how easy it is to corral the people if you scare the pants off them with a nasty but far from apocalyptic viral episode; now for Russia to fulfil its historic role once more: to distract Western voters from their own socioeconomic failures.

For it is ‘the economy, stupid.’ After a decade (the 1950s) in which the Soviet economy had been growing twice as fast as Britain’s, PM Harold Macmillan wrote (December 1960) to President Kennedy:

‘What is going to happen to us unless we can show that our modern free society – the new form of capitalism – can make the fullest use of our resources and results in a steady expansion of our economic strength… If we fail in this, Communism will triumph, not by war, or even subversion, but by seeming to be a better way of bringing people material comforts. In other words, if we were to fall back into anything like the recession or crisis that we had between the wars, with large-scale unemployment of men and machines, I think we would have lost the hand.’

-          Quoted in ‘Macmillan: The Official Biography’ by Alistair Horne (Macmillan, 1988)

It looks as though the West has lost the plot, for the East is beginning to show us up. Mao starved millions by swapping the peasant’s harvests for Stalin’s modern weaponry; today, so my brother says, ‘I just watched an interview with a Chinese industrialist who was educated at Stanford University, who noted that the infrastructure in the US amazed him when he came in the early 1970's, and now appears to be inferior to much of China's.’ As for the Satanic right-wingers of Russia, crushed by Western sanctions, they are currently the world’s biggest exporters of wheat, so much so that they have been limiting that trade to keep prices down at home. https://www.world-grain.com/articles/14975-focus-on-russia

My brother, a martial artist, has told me a twisted strategy to use if you wish to attack someone: start hitting them while at the same time calling for help from passers-by. What if those Russian forces massing near the Ukrainian border are actually a defensive posture, a warning? Read the Review if you’d like to learn some of their take on the background to all this; maybe there’s a third side to the Möbius strip. You don’t have to accept it, but at least remove the Zuckergoggles.

Here’s a reading I’ll offer you, as a theoretical perspective: Putin has no interest in European conquest, but wishes to make sure his Western border is secure (and NATO missiles kept more than ten minutes’ flight away from Moscow) so that he can concentrate on a larger project – a Eurasian trade corridor https://en.paperblog.com/trans-asian-corridor-of-development-russia-s-super-canal-to-unite-eurasia-734226/ . His gas lines to Germany and other Western countries are vulnerable in the Ukraine, and even Blue Stream (heading for Turkey) passes through the Donbass; the Yamal line is equally a potential hostage in Belarus; so Nord Stream 2, bypassing both nations, sidesteps mischief-making by them and also by third parties that may find such trouble convenient for their own domestic political purposes. Could this explain Biden’s opposition to the near-finished construction? https://www.brookings.edu/research/nord-stream-2-background-objections-and-possible-outcomes/

If we can remove our virtual-unreality specs we may see that this is the age of Four Empires: the US, tearing itself apart under socioeconomic stress and one of its periodic spasms of hysterical Asleepening; the EU, falling apart because it really doesn’t believe that ‘alle menschen werden brüder’, especially the PIIGS; China, ruthlessly emptying the seas of fish and gaining by international loans and bribery what America has failed to do by indiscriminate bombing; and a Russia trying to build an Eastern EU to promote the security and prosperity of the world’s largest and still desperately-underpopulated country (and feeling windy about the tempting natural assets in Eastern Siberia that China must covet.)

Too boring; back to the basement for a few more hours of Zombie Apocalypse.

Sunday, December 12, 2021

USA: Throwing it all away, by Paddington

 In many ways, the years 1945-1965 were some of the best ever for the United States.

With the massive funds of the British Empire, obtained through the Lend Lease program, the war machine was converted to civilian products (as well as weapons production), fueled by huge US oil reserves.

There was virtually no competition, given that the British, French, German and Japanese empires were destroyed, and most of Russia and China were at least a century behind us.

The government invested in infrastructure (rural electrification, the interstate system), education (especially the public universities), people (Medicare and Medicaid) and scientific research (both very pure and applied). We were the leaders in electronics, computers and nuclear energy.

The middle class grew and thrived, with good jobs with benefits, which included pensions.

At some point, the public was persuaded that pensions were bad, as were unions, and science. People were encouraged and divided over envy.

I don't think that the country as a whole was helped by the latter, and things do not seem to be going in a good direction.

I just watched an interview with a Chinese industrialist who was educated at Stanford University, who noted that the infrastructure in the US amazed him when he came in the early 1970's, and now appears to be inferior to much of China's.

Saturday, December 11, 2021

WEEKENDER: Bio Security Failure ? by Wiggia

It was not that long ago that I mentioned some facts on plant diseases that were plaguing the western world.

Another was announced by the Forestry Commission: a new tree disease has been found in Cornwall. How it came to light in Cornwall is interesting in its own right. This is the first time in Europe. Phytophthora pluvialis affects Douglas fir and a variety of other trees not specified.

What was not said was what the disease actually did; was it one of those that had a time frame and petered out, or was it an outright untreatable killer? Putting out a notice about a disease and nothing else is a bit like a film review where they don’t reveal the plot.

Further digging revealed in the official Government paper on the disease...

“Phytophthora pluvialis is known to cause needle cast, shoot dieback, and lesions on the stem, branches, and roots. “

Further digging failed to reveal if the disease is terminal but the area has been put into quarantine which suggests the final outcome of the disease is not known. It does however weaken the host and Honey Fungus which is terminal can take hold of the weakened plant.

None of this is good news any more than it is startling, or even interesting to regular readers, but it is one of a long line of imported diseases in plants that have been occurring on a regular basis for some time.

These diseases fall into several categories and those categories are not always that evident on early discovery. Many of them are in the ‘you will all die’ group rather like our Coronavirus experts keep preaching, but turn out not be, it is not an easy area to pre judge as many don’t quite live up! to the reputation gained elsewhere; many of course do.

The most infamous in recent times was Dutch Elm disease and that did indeed wipe out 99% of elms in this country, but not all: two were quite happily surviving 50 yards up the road from where we lived ten years ago and are still there; how is a mystery, and yet an earlier house we moved to in 1983 was called Twin Elms and there were none - the entrance trees had succumbed to the virus.

I am not going through all viruses that have alighted on these shores but a sampler of the more prominent and recent gives the picture.

The London Plane is a pretty resilient species but as with all is not immune to attacks of fungus. In the Eighties it was infected with Plane Anthracnose which causes early leaf fall; this sparked fears of losing our most famous tree in the capital responsible for lining so many stately avenues and drives. The leaves started to fall almost immediately after they had unfurled and we had autumn in May. The trees survived and the leaf fall carried on for several years getting later and later into the season before all returned to normal; scare over.

Then we had the Horse Chestnut under attack from a very nasty Bleeding Canker, which looks as nasty as it sounds: large areas of the bark turn black and bleed a tarry sap. The advice was to remove infected branches and the tree would slowly recover but the ones I saw fell into the death stage quite early on. It was a very quick change in tree and advanced with some speed. One client I had removed three chestnuts in the first year the disease appeared. For a while outbreaks threatened the species with severe depletion but again it slowly subsided and I haven’t seen an infected tree for some time.

After that it was the turn of the oak. It seemed nothing was safe; the oak has been the subject of several diseases over time but the latest is Acute Oak Decline.

An example of Acute Oak Decline

‘Acute oak decline (AOD) is a relatively new disease in the UK with an increasing number of reported cases each year, mostly in the English Midlands, with records extending into Wales. The main symptom is extensive bleeding on the tree’s stem (trunk). A dark fluid oozes from splits in the bark, often from 1 metre above ground level and upwards. It is usually found on mature trees, 50 years or older,  and both major oak species (Pedunculate and Sessile) in the UK are affected.

'Unlike chronic oak decline, a tree affected by AOD may die quickly, within five years. The exact cause(s) of AOD are not known at present but Forest Research believe that a bacteria may be the likely factor.’

The worry with this one is self-evident in the text: they have no idea at present what causes it. The good thing! is that the disease has not spread into the other regions, which gives time to find the cause and maybe a cure.

Another much more widely spread virus has attacked Ash trees; this is worrying as the Ash is such a widely-planted tree.

‘Ash dieback is a serious disease of ash trees, caused by a fungus now called Hymenoscyphus Fraxineus. The fungus was described as a new fungal species in 2006 as the cause of ash (Fraxinus Excelsior) mortality in European countries during the previous ten years.

'The disease affects trees of all ages. Young trees can be killed in one season and older trees tend to succumb after several seasons of infection. Whilst ash dieback is certainly capable of killing trees in its own right, in many cases the weakened tree is colonised by another pathogen, particularly honey fungus, which then accelerates the decline and death of the tree.

'Ash dieback has spread rapidly in continental Europe. In the UK, the disease was first confirmed in trees growing in nurseries or on recently planted ash trees. However, many cases have now been confirmed in the wider environment in the UK and the disease is widely distributed. The latest distribution maps for cases of the disease in the wider environment can be found on the Forestry Commission website.’

Again the potential to be devastating has been somewhat ameliorated by the discovery that in certain growing conditions the disease is not so prevalent. Locally I have not seen any Ash trees with the virus as yet, despite this area (Eastern England) being one of the first to report it in 2012. Much of the problem has been the popularity of Ash; it is the third most commonly planted broadleaf in the country, both in municipal and home plantings with several very popular cultivars; one or two are exempt from getting the virus and research is centred on those for an answer to the problem.

And there are economic implications in all this as well the Ash alone…

‘Research by a team from the University of Oxford, Food and Environment Research Agency Science, the Sylva Foundation and the Woodland Trust published in May 2019 has calculated the true economic cost of ash dieback to the UK is estimated to be in the region of £15bn, with half of this over the next ten years, principally related to management and replacement costs.’

There has been a significant increase in the number of non-native tree pests and diseases being introduced to the United Kingdom since the early 2000s.

Some of these diseases cross over in species. In the US the disease known as Sudden Oak Death' is misleadingly named as it attacks most trees including beech, larch, ash, horse chestnut and sweet chestnut. It also attacks garden plants including rhododendron, viburnum and camellias.

I actually found a new Rhododendron disease in a garden I had planted, on an annual inspection some 15 years later. I was not sure what it was so I sent samples of leaf to the RHS who confirmed it was a silver leaf blight similar to others in trees, but fortunately it responded to the same treatment, which was an annual spray. Plant diseases are definitely on the up across species and the government bio security measures though good on paper are not stopping a continuous feed from abroad. 

As with so many of these foreign diseases they don’t have the natural predators that are present in their homelands. For example, the new box caterpillar now devastating box topiary everywhere is prey to a killer moth that has not accompanied it from Japan, and it has no predators here. Frequent spraying in time works but the caterpillar only needs a couple of days to strip a plant and you have to spray almost endlessly through the season.

The fact we import so much nursery stock does not help, but it is not the only avenue for diseases to enter the country. People still stupidly bring back plant material from foreign lands and don’t get stopped at customs or declare it; we are nowhere near as strict in this matter as say Australia and that obviously contributes to the problem.

Naturally the government, because of climate change, have schemes to plant trees everywhere and encourage individuals to do the same ‘to save the planet.’ Has any thought gone into advising what and what not to plant? None as far as I know, but the millions of trees mentioned in these plantings will nearly all be coming from abroad. What restrictions on species being brought in have been put in place? So many tree species are suffering from disease problems that there are not many ‘clean’ species left.

An article recently gave an update on the subject in the Times. Apart from the facts above it quoted a doubling of tree imports in four years and other plants which can also bring with them diseases have increased in quantity by fourfold in 25 years; how much real scrutiny has gone on during that period?

The Woodland Trust speaks of 20 serious tree pests and diseases imported since 1990, and the loss of tens of millions of trees.

The emphasis must be on UK nurseries producing more of our own stock but this of course is not an overnight solution. Very few UK nurseries have the enormous capacity of the Dutch and Belgian outfits alone and with size comes price differentials, so we are nowhere near competitive.

The government response is one of too late and to feeble to start with. Banning species from countries with these disease problems should have been done years ago; they are here now. They claim to have some of  the highest bio security measures in Europe but the facts would counter that claim. Stricter measures were introduced in March on imports of olive, almond, lavender, rosemary and oleander plants from countries affected with Xyella, a bacterium spread by insects; why so late? The disease devastating olives in Italy and spreading elsewhere is not new, it should have been singled out on the first news of the disease. We are not at the forefront as claimed, the diseases here already prove otherwise.

Scotland in Autumn

We don’t want to lose woodland, it creates and gives so much. Here the late David Bellamy says his bit on it all.

Dr David Bellamy, botanist:

‘I don’t know how long we mortals have stood in reverence of trees but I have been under their spell for a long time – I call them the “Time Lords”.

'Having lived within the demesne of Hamsterley Forest in County Durham for 40 years I must say, my favourite autumn walk is in my own back yard. All you have to do is choose one of the many well-marked tracks that fan out from the meanders of the Bedburn Beck. They’re all there, from the oaks, providing habitats and food for hundreds of species of creepy crawlies; alder beside the rivers, alongside weeping willows; hazel, with its catkins and nuts; rowan, with fruits that make great jam; fungi popping up under the canopy of beech leaves.

'My favourites, birches, were among the first large trees to colonise our isles, as the last Ice Age began to come to an end. Hooray for climate change.’

As I finished this another tree and  similar species comes under threat: the Larch is now in deep trouble with woodland areas nationwide confirming the disease. If a tree is diagnosed with the fungus an area of trees at least a hundred metres around has to be cleared; this alone will hasten the clearing of wood stock.

‘Sudden larch death is a disease of several host trees and plants including larch (all species), beech, chestnut and woody ornamentals including rhododendron, Camellia and Viburnum.  It is caused by the fungus–like organism, Phytophthora Ramorum. In North America the pathogen mainly affects oak and tan oak, giving it the common name Sudden Oak Death. In the UK the pathogen is not a large threat to oak species, and is more damaging to the coniferous plantation species Larch where it causes a disease known as Sudden Larch Death.‘

As I said at the beginning, not all of these diseases go the full cycle but so many are now present and active it is inevitable that large concentrations of woodland will be lost. The replacement is going to be difficult: simply, what do you plant?