tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post6742605950113954167..comments2024-03-27T06:56:10.255+00:00Comments on Broad Oak Magazine: FTSE and Dow predictions revisitedUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-13710653026747155632010-04-19T19:34:39.426+01:002010-04-19T19:34:39.426+01:00Geethu: 7th May, surely! But I think the major rea...Geethu: 7th May, surely! But I think the major reaction will come when the new government starts to make clear its policies.<br /><br />There's an old saying in finance (apparently): never give a forecast and a time frame together. But I wouldn't be alone in suggesting that the FTSE could halve (in real terms) at some point.Sackersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09410040031410954403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-85056371815104847262010-04-17T11:12:59.187+01:002010-04-17T11:12:59.187+01:00Please give me the forecast value of ftse100 on 6t...Please give me the forecast value of ftse100 on 6th mayGeethu Xavierhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14051893652728491944noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-75844191067531764122008-10-07T11:18:00.000+01:002008-10-07T11:18:00.000+01:00Let's wait and see if it does re-enter there and s...Let's wait and see if it does re-enter there and stay there.James Highamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14525082702330365464noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-59113432680936054272008-10-07T05:59:00.000+01:002008-10-07T05:59:00.000+01:00Pej, I didn't mean you were being simplistic, my l...Pej, I didn't mean you were being simplistic, my line-drawing was. And I agree that a more cautious, common-sense approach wins out over the excitable short-termers - except for the lucky few who got out in time after a working lifetime spent in mad gambling.<BR/><BR/>Prof - that's a worrying aspect, too, how investor-magnates can skew the market. Another one for the free marketeers to chew on.Sackersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09410040031410954403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-84813874671715720972008-10-07T01:00:00.000+01:002008-10-07T01:00:00.000+01:00Soros and Rogers do have those kind of 'quants'. H...Soros and Rogers do have those kind of 'quants'. However, they also have enough wealth to influence the market directly, as well as by consumer confidence.Paddingtonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07952088638231881617noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-9259311652757734502008-10-06T22:23:00.000+01:002008-10-06T22:23:00.000+01:00Hi Sackerson,My point is not simplistic, it's simp...Hi Sackerson,<BR/>My point is not simplistic, it's simple and straightforward. My belief is that if you need quant to perform some calculation to the 6th decimal to understand if you are going to make money on a trade, it means that you are deemed to fail and doomed :-)<BR/>Do you think that Soros or Rogers have a team full of quants? :-)pejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10958133367017526690noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-24700336732056823622008-10-06T17:16:00.000+01:002008-10-06T17:16:00.000+01:00Thanks, Pej; definitely simplistic, ACO (though th...Thanks, Pej; definitely simplistic, ACO (though the complexity of the quants is hardly better, it seems). Now to see how wrong I may be.Sackersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09410040031410954403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-45001963977574241822008-10-06T16:46:00.000+01:002008-10-06T16:46:00.000+01:00I personally think that predicting the future base...I personally think that predicting the future based on a linear extrapolation is a bit simplistic.<BR/><BR/>I also guess lower than 4500.AntiCitizenOnehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00017073518049848696noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-49991464390469640892008-10-06T14:52:00.000+01:002008-10-06T14:52:00.000+01:00Hi Sackerson,I do not target specifically the FTSE...Hi Sackerson,<BR/>I do not target specifically the FTSE, but my opinion is that we are going way much more south. I give the details here: <A HREF="http://realitylenses.blogspot.com/2008/10/are-we-done-yet-no-expect-lot-more.html" REL="nofollow">Are we done yet? Expect a lot more</A>pejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10958133367017526690noreply@blogger.com