tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post4351906611041699969..comments2024-03-27T06:56:10.255+00:00Comments on Broad Oak Magazine: A credible, horrible warningUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-40725893504959762642008-10-29T20:59:00.000+00:002008-10-29T20:59:00.000+00:00Sorry, I'm as paranoid as the next person, but I c...<I>Sorry, I'm as paranoid as the next person, but I can't help thinking this is tin-foil hat time. </I><BR/><BR/>Hmm - Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt - maybe Iran too - bust and unable to feed their own population but plenty ready to blame their neighbours and go nick their stuff<BR/><BR/>From every mosque they must already be preaching about the fall of those who followed the false western values of borrowed money and consumption. <BR/><BR/>Just one of those countries going bananas ought to put a crimp in the "globalisation"; <BR/><BR/>I think Pakistan and Egypt will fall soon; eventually Turkey and Iran creating a huge tribal area right across the middle east.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-72687649205511168422008-10-24T15:11:00.000+01:002008-10-24T15:11:00.000+01:00Agree on both counts, OP, though on the first it's...Agree on both counts, OP, though on the first it's not PURELY emotion. I hesitate to say this, not being a mathematician, but I would say emotion determines the degree of deviation from the mean; and I think we are now seeing a move back tpwards (and eventually below) the mean.Sackersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09410040031410954403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-18172578255181338322008-10-24T14:05:00.000+01:002008-10-24T14:05:00.000+01:00I haved worked with an experimental psychologist, ...I haved worked with an experimental psychologist, who himself was working with economists, trying to analyse the stock markets. They found out that the trends are diven by emotion, not fact. You thus have a positive-feedback loop, whether in a bull or bear market.<BR/><BR/>On a related issue, I am suspect that our current problems must lead to hyperinflation. After all, the current problem was caused by the financial institutions priting too much money to begin with.Paddingtonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07952088638231881617noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-38718987627255137972008-10-24T07:47:00.000+01:002008-10-24T07:47:00.000+01:00Hi, Anon: (a) I'm still learning the art of charti...Hi, Anon: (a) I'm still learning the art of charting, and (b) the line doesn't particularly look to me as though there is a general pronounced upward trend; it looks as if it bounces between 10 and 30, with the last few years as a grotesque aberration.Sackersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09410040031410954403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-41003923091191627322008-10-24T07:32:00.000+01:002008-10-24T07:32:00.000+01:00why isn't this a log chart?why isn't this a log chart?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-18415576831391435312008-10-23T12:17:00.000+01:002008-10-23T12:17:00.000+01:00CU, I think this flight to the dollar could be the...CU, I think this flight to the dollar could be the Helm's Deep phase, not the final resolution.Sackersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09410040031410954403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-12406962064519384062008-10-23T10:04:00.000+01:002008-10-23T10:04:00.000+01:00but money is flooding to the 'safe-haven' of the U...but money is flooding to the 'safe-haven' of the US. This may seem odd, but it is the way it is. Of course the marekts are going to fall more until we are further into the recession.<BR/><BR/>but not for Denninger's analysis. He is too technical at the moment, when the issues are politicalCityUnslickerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15929544047783163175noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-61895461858390007592008-10-23T08:06:00.000+01:002008-10-23T08:06:00.000+01:00Ostrich head said: "but who is more qualified to m...Ostrich head said: "but who is more qualified to make the right decision ..?"<BR/><BR/>Looking at Denninger's and Benankes respective records, I fancy Denninger.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5524682876220396502.post-10448869755139241992008-10-23T07:55:00.000+01:002008-10-23T07:55:00.000+01:00Sorry, I'm as paranoid as the next person, but I c...Sorry, I'm as paranoid as the next person, but I can't help thinking this is tin-foil hat time. <BR/><BR/>"This is very bad, because nobody will loan money to someone forever when they have no reasonable belief that they will ever be paid back."<BR/><BR/>A bit naive?<BR/><BR/>The guy spends his time slagging off Ben B, but who is more qualified to make the right decision, him or a blogger? <BR/><BR/>Hey - let's hope I'm right anyway. Sounds a bit like an end-of-the-world preacher to me - when it doesn't happen he'll say well that'll be the other 30 per cent, right?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com