Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Why inflation is going to hit us

Scott Burns at MSN Money (htp: Michael Panzner) calculates that unfunded government programs for social security and Medicare ($46 trillion) represent a debt equivalent to around 90% of all consumers' net worth ($51.5 trillion). If Americans' net assets decline by a further 10%, then effectively the American citizen is bust.

Can anyone provide equivalent information for the UK?

5 comments:

  1. Your statement is silly. The Medicare commitments include future obligations while the net assets do not.

    On this basis many individuals with a mortgage are bust - since the value of the future payments principal and interest will probably exceed the current value of their net assets.

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  2. Of course Dan Hannan in his YouTube demagogery made a similar claim that the country as a whole was in negative equity. It is amazing how many people, including most political journalists, do not really understand the difference between stocks and flows.

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  3. You mean, Scott Burns' (financial statement is silly. And presumably, you also think David Walker, the former US Comptroller General, is silly, since he's spent 2 years touring America to warn of exactly the same thing. I understand the figures to represent the discounted future value of the obligations concerned, much in the same way as one produces a quotation for an annuity.

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  4. I can't provide that data but I'll check here to see if anyone can.

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  5. Grateful if you could, James. What's that horrid baby doing as your avatar?

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