Karl Denninger thinks we're on course to lose all the gains of the last 5 years:
I am updating expectations for this Bear Market; I no longer believe 1070 on the SPX will hold, and have now moved to the camp that sees the potential for the S&P to retrace all of the 2003-2007 Bull Market's gains, taking us back to around 800 on the SPX.
In the UK, the FTSE closed at 3,287.00 on 12 March 2003.
That is certain, the only question is over what timespan exactly? If I could predict that I'd be responding to this post from my own private Island now.
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